La Nina Weather Is 60% Likely To Begin By June-august

by | Apr 12, 2024 | Daily News, Environmental News

Home » Environmental News » La Nina Weather Is 60% Likely To Begin By June-august


A U.S. government weather forecaster has indicated a high likelihood, about 60%, of the La Nina weather pattern emerging in the latter half of 2024. La Nina is characterized by unusually cold temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. This prediction comes from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) in their monthly forecast released on Thursday. The CPC also highlighted an 85% chance of transitioning from El Niño to ENSO-neutral conditions by April-June.

La Nina Weather Is 60% Likely To Begin By June-august

The end of El Niño, as anticipated by the CPC, is expected to impact global weather patterns significantly. With the cessation of El Niño, the vertical wind shear, which typically suppresses storm formation in the Atlantic basin, is expected to diminish. Additionally, warm ocean temperatures, a characteristic of ENSO-neutral conditions, are conducive to the formation of stronger storms.

In India, relief is expected in the form of a normal monsoon season in 2024, according to Skymet, a private weather forecasting agency. This prediction follows concerns of more-than-normal heat waves preceding the June-September rainy season. The anticipation of seasonal to slightly above-normal rains in the U.S. Midwest, Delta, and central and northern Plains is forecasted to result in higher corn and soybean production, according to Donald Keeney, senior agricultural meteorologist at Maxar.

While some regions anticipate relief, others continue to grapple with severe weather challenges. Southern Africa is currently facing its worst drought in years, attributed to a combination of naturally occurring El Niño conditions and the exacerbating effects of greenhouse gas emissions. The El Niño phenomenon, characterized by abnormal warming of the waters in the eastern Pacific, contributes to hotter weather worldwide.

In Japan, the weather bureau’s announcement on Monday noted an 8% chance of the El Niño phenomenon ending during the northern hemisphere spring. This uncertainty adds to the complexity of global weather predictions and underscores the importance of ongoing monitoring and research efforts.

In conclusion, the forecast of a La Nina weather pattern by mid-2024 carries significant implications for global weather patterns. While some regions anticipate relief from extreme weather conditions, others continue to face ongoing challenges. The interplay between natural weather phenomena and human-induced climate change underscores the need for continued vigilance and proactive measures to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather events.

Also Read: Brazil Amazon Deforestation Down By 40% In First Quarter.


  • Sarah Tancredi

    Sarah Tancredi is an experienced journalist and news reporter specializing in environmental and climate crisis issues. With a deep passion for the planet and a commitment to raising awareness about pressing environmental challenges, Sarah has dedicated her career to informing the public and promoting sustainable solutions. She strives to inspire individuals, communities, and policymakers to take action to safeguard our planet for future generations.

    View all posts


Submit a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Explore Categories